The XRP death cross has taken shape on the token's daily chart, as the 50-day moving average slipped beneath the 200-day average around $1.37. XRP was changing hands at $1.30 on Monday, sitting below both indicators.
The crossover matters because traders generally read it as a sign that momentum is deteriorating. With the price now capped beneath a cluster of moving averages, the pattern has sharpened attention on a narrow set of support and resistance levels that could decide XRP's next move.
XRP death cross and price losses
XRP has shed roughly 15% over the past 30 days, according to eGamers.io. The token is down 29% since the start of the year and 48% over the last 12 months, Hokanews and The Currency Analytics reported.
The token's most recent recovery attempt stalled near $1.40, leaving it below several moving averages that are now acting as potential resistance, according to Hokanews and The Currency Analytics. The 100-day average, sitting at roughly $1.33, has also turned against the price, meaning bulls face two barriers before any rebound carries weight, eGamers.io reported.
Trading volume has fallen sharply from the surge recorded in August, according to Hokanews. The decline points to weakened buying activity, though Hokanews cautioned that softer volume by itself does not determine which way the price heads next.
Momentum indicators stay weak
Momentum readings also point to vulnerability, Hokanews reported. The relative strength index sits near 40, a level that indicates weak momentum without yet reaching traditionally oversold territory, leaving room for further declines before a recovery signal emerges.
The Currency Analytics similarly reported that the RSI near 40 suggests weakness without oversold conditions, implying the price could fall further before a technical bounce becomes statistically likely.
Support levels below the XRP death cross
The first major support sits at $1.25, the recent low where buyers stepped in twice during the decline, according to Hokanews and The Currency Analytics. Hokanews reported that the repeated defense makes it an important level for determining whether XRP can stabilize.
Should the token finish a session under $1.25, the next floors in view are $1.20 and $1.15, Hokanews reported. If selling pressure intensifies beyond that, $1.00 becomes another potential downside target, a round-number level that held as support in August, according to Hokanews and eGamers.io.
What bulls must reclaim
Any recovery starts with the token winning back $1.33, the current location of the 100-day moving average, Hokanews reported. Holding above that mark would offer an initial sign of improving price strength.
The next important resistance zone lies between $1.37 and $1.40, where the 50-day and 200-day moving averages are clustered and where the previous recovery attempt failed, according to Hokanews. A decisive daily close above $1.40 would weaken the bearish signal from the XRP death cross and could open a path toward $1.50, with $1.65, the October high, the next upside level to monitor.
Until XRP breaks through that resistance zone, the broader technical picture continues to favor sellers, Hokanews reported. The outlet added that any push past resistance must hold to count as a genuine shift in momentum.
Derivatives positioning adds risk
Long-to-short ratios on Binance and OKX are above 3, meaning accounts positioned for gains substantially outnumber those betting on a decline, according to data reported by Hokanews and The Currency Analytics. Hokanews reported that such positioning can create additional downside risks during a bearish trend, since traders in leveraged long positions may be forced to close through liquidations if prices fall, potentially adding to selling pressure.
Some of that unwinding is already under way. Of the $7.25 million in liquidations over the last 24 hours, long positions made up the bulk, while futures flows registered net outflows across the preceding four to eight hours, a sign that capital was leaving futures positions during that window, according to Hokanews, The Currency Analytics and eGamers.io.
Hokanews noted that none of these readings make another drop certain, though they do show that optimistic positioning has so far failed to produce a lasting recovery in XRP's spot price.
Levels that decide the next move
Where XRP heads next rests largely on two questions, Hokanews reported: whether buyers hold the line at $1.25, and whether the token can push back above the $1.33 to $1.40 resistance range. The analysis frames those two thresholds as the dividing lines between stabilization and a deeper slide.
Should $1.25 give way, attention would shift to $1.20 and $1.15, with $1.00 next in line if the selling builds, according to Hokanews. The Currency Analytics reported the same sequence, identifying $1.00 as a major support area should the lower levels give way.
On the upside, a firm daily close above $1.40 would undercut the bearish technical case and bring $1.50 and $1.65 into view, Hokanews reported. The Currency Analytics similarly reported that a clean close above the $1.37 to $1.40 zone would weaken the death cross signal and could direct the price toward those same targets.
For now, the XRP death cross, declining volume and derivatives positioning point to continued caution, according to Hokanews. The $1.25 support level remains the key downside threshold, while $1.40 is the main resistance level bulls need to overcome to signal a potential trend change.
Conclusion
XRP's near-term direction hinges on whether buyers can defend $1.25 and whether the token can recover above the $1.33 to $1.40 resistance range, Hokanews reported. A break below $1.25 would bring $1.20 and $1.15 into focus, followed by $1.00 if selling intensifies, while a strong daily close above $1.40 would challenge the bearish outlook and put $1.50 and $1.65 on the radar.
For now, the XRP death cross, declining volume and derivatives positioning point to continued caution, according to Hokanews. The $1.25 support remains the key downside threshold, while $1.40 is the main resistance bulls need to overcome to signal a potential trend change.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the XRP death cross that formed on the daily chart?
The XRP death cross is a chart pattern in which the 50-day moving average falls below the 200-day moving average. It formed on XRP's daily chart near $1.37, with the token trading at $1.30, below both indicators. Traders generally read the crossover as evidence that momentum is fading.
What support levels are traders watching after the XRP death cross?
The first major support is $1.25, the recent low where buyers stepped in twice. A daily close below it could expose $1.20 and then $1.15, according to Hokanews. If selling pressure intensifies further, $1.00 becomes another potential downside target, a round-number level that held as support in August.
What resistance must XRP clear to weaken the death cross signal?
Bulls first need to reclaim $1.33, where the 100-day moving average sits. The key resistance zone runs from $1.37 to $1.40, where the 50-day and 200-day averages are clustered. A decisive daily close above $1.40 would weaken the bearish signal and could open a path toward $1.50 and then $1.65, the October high.
How much has XRP fallen over the past 30 days and year to date?
XRP has lost roughly 15% over the past 30 days, according to eGamers.io. The token is down 29% since the beginning of the year and 48% over the past 12 months, Hokanews and The Currency Analytics reported.
What do XRP long-to-short ratios on Binance and OKX show?
Long-to-short ratios on Binance and OKX are above 3, meaning accounts positioned for gains substantially outnumber those betting on a decline, according to reported data. Hokanews reported that such crowded positioning can add downside risk in a downtrend, since falling prices can force leveraged longs to close through liquidations.